SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
40.71% ( -0.01) | 26.97% ( 0.01) | 32.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -0.03) | 54.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0.03) | 76.06% ( 0.02) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.02) | 26.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( -0.02) | 61.6% ( 0.02) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( -0.02) | 31.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( -0.02) | 67.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.32% |
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