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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chippenham Town |
44.2% ( 0.15) | 26.01% ( -0.03) | 29.79% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.21% ( 0.05) | 51.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.05) | 73.56% ( -0.05) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.1) | 23.33% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( 0.14) | 57.29% ( -0.15) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( -0.07) | 31.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( -0.07) | 68.2% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.79% |
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