SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chippenham Town |
47.88% ( -1.51) | 25.18% ( 0.32) | 26.94% ( 1.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.46) | 50.01% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.41) | 71.99% ( 0.41) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.83) | 20.91% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -1.31) | 53.63% ( 1.31) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.72) | 33% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( 0.79) | 69.58% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.94% |
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