Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
