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National League South | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
3 - 1
Welling United

McManus (5'), Fuller (59'), Rutherford (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Derry (1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Welling United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 78.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 7.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawWelling United
78.94%13.22%7.84%
Both teams to score 51.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.52%30.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22%51.78%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91%6.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.86%23.14%
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.64%45.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.78%81.22%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 78.93%
    Welling United 7.84%
    Draw 13.22%
Dorking WanderersDrawWelling United
2-0 @ 10.82%
3-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.73%
4-0 @ 7.07%
4-1 @ 5.59%
5-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-1 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 2.21%
6-0 @ 1.85%
6-1 @ 1.46%
5-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 78.93%
1-1 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 3.38%
0-0 @ 2.76%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.22%
1-2 @ 2.42%
0-1 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 7.84%

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