Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 78.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 7.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.