Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 55.4%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.