Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungerford Town would win this match.