Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.