Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.