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National League South | Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Turner (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jackson (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
45%23.29%31.71%
Both teams to score 62.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2%38.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89%61.11%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78%48.22%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96%24.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69%58.31%
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 45%
    Chelmsford City 31.71%
    Draw 23.29%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.71%

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