Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.