SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Salisbury win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Truro City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Salisbury |
57.55% ( 0.01) | 23.46% ( -0) | 18.99% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( -0) | 50.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% ( -0) | 72.82% ( 0) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( 0) | 17.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.05% ( 0) | 47.95% ( -0) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.01) | 41.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.42% ( -0) | 77.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Salisbury |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.39% 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.99% |
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