SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Truro City |
38.7% ( 0.06) | 25.3% ( -0.05) | 35.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.2) | 47.11% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.18) | 69.35% ( -0.19) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.12) | 24.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.72% ( 0.17) | 58.27% ( -0.17) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.08) | 25.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( 0.11) | 60.34% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.99% |
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