Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.