Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
