Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.