Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.