Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
