Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
