Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
