Chesterfield
2 - 3
Notts County

Smith (33'), Denton (78')
Cropper (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Turner (22'), Wootton (90+1', 90+3')
Kelly-Evans (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
29.39%	25.92%	44.7%

Both teams to score 52.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39%

51.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6%

73.4%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.43%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98%

23.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18%

56.83%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 29.39%

Notts County 44.69%

Draw 25.91%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.39%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.69%