Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
