Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
