Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.