SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 41.6% | 25.89% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 53.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% | 72.29% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% | 23.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.79% | 58.21% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% | 29.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.88% | 65.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.5% |
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