Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.