Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
