SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Notts County |
| 33.03% | 27.18% | 39.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% | 55.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% | 76.63% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% | 31.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.25% | 67.75% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% | 27.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.32% | 62.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.78% |
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