Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.