Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
