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Saturday, April 27
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National League | Gameweek 51
May 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Meadow Lane
SU

Notts County
3 - 2
Sutton

Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Sutton United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
35.21%28.83%35.96%
Both teams to score 45.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76%61.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83%81.17%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1%32.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53%69.47%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6%32.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08%68.92%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 35.21%
    Sutton United 35.96%
    Draw 28.82%
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 12.01%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.96%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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