National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
1 - 0
Oldham

Mooney (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
47.75% ( 0.36)	26.96% ( 0)	25.29% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 46.43% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

-0.24)

57.89% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

-0.19)

78.6% (

0.19)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.06)

24.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.09)

58.67% (

-0.09)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.33% (

-0.45)

38.67% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.59% (

-0.43)

75.41% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Southend United 47.75%

Oldham Athletic 25.29%

Draw 26.96%

Southend United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.29%