Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
0.36) 
-0.36) 
