Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 15.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.