Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
