Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
33.55% | 25.98% | 40.46% |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.54% | 50.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% | 72.39% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% | 28.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% | 64.35% |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% | 24.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% | 59.11% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.46% |
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