Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
