SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
29.01% ( 0.76) | 24.39% ( -0.25) | 46.6% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 1.54) | 45.31% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( 1.46) | 67.65% ( -1.46) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 1.34) | 29.01% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( 1.62) | 64.92% ( -1.62) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( 0.41) | 19.56% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( 0.66) | 51.47% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.6% |
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