Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
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