Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
