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National League | Gameweek 42
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
SC

Aldershot
1 - 2
Stockport

Rees (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stretton (37'), Palmer (68')
Collar (16'), Madden (33'), Rooney (90')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Stockport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawStockport County
21.68%23.8%54.52%
Both teams to score 51.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93%71.06%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94%37.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15%73.84%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38%48.61%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 21.68%
    Stockport County 54.51%
    Draw 23.79%
Aldershot TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 6.57%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.6%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.68%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 11.39%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-3 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 5.6%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 2.41%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.51%

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