SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Braintree Town |
54.01% ( 0.59) | 23.42% ( -0.19) | 22.57% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.39) | 46.43% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.37) | 68.71% ( -0.37) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 0.36) | 17.11% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.69% ( 0.63) | 47.31% ( -0.63) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -0.14) | 34.78% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( -0.15) | 71.52% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.86% Total : 54% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.57% |
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