Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Gosport Borough had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gosport Borough win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.