Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.