Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
