Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Woking had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Woking win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.