Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.