SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Armenia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Estonia |
| 72.5% | 16.63% | 10.86% |
| Both teams to score 50.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% | 37.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% | 59.78% |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.96% | 9.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.75% |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.85% | 44.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.75% | 80.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Armenia | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 11.52% 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 7.55% 4-0 @ 5.55% 4-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.09% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.86% 6-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.2% Total : 72.49% | 1-1 @ 7.84% 0-0 @ 3.99% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.26% 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.86% |
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