Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Armenia in this match.