Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Romania had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
