Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.