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HN
Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2020 at 5pm UK
Puskás Aréna
RN

Hungary
2 - 3
Russia

Sallai (62'), Nikolic (70')
Siger (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Miranchuk (15'), Ozdoyev (34'), Fernandes (46')
Zobnin (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
HungaryDrawRussia
24.64%24.64%50.72%
Both teams to score 52.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48%49.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45%71.55%
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36%34.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64%71.36%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47%19.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58%51.42%
Score Analysis
    Hungary 24.64%
    Russia 50.72%
    Draw 24.63%
HungaryDrawRussia
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-1 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 9.02%
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.72%


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