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Nations League | League C
Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
BN

Lithuania
2 - 2
Belarus

Novikovas (7'), Laukzemis (75')
Kazlauskas (57'), Vaitkunas (59'), Dapkus (88'), Vorobjovas (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lisakovich (59' pen.), Sachivko (66')
Gromyko (20'), Ebong (38')
Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Lithuania and Belarus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
18.55%22.63%58.82%
Both teams to score 50.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82%48.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66%70.34%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1%39.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44%76.56%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.59%45.4%
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 18.55%
    Belarus 58.81%
    Draw 22.63%
LithuaniaDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 5.88%
2-1 @ 4.95%
2-0 @ 2.7%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.55%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 11.71%
0-2 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 6.01%
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.75%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 1.09%
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 58.81%


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