Estonia
1 - 3
Lithuania

Marin (59')
Anders Lepik (51'), Marin (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Novikovas (14', 46'), Sirgedas (32')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Estonia and Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Lithuania
38.91%	27.42%	33.67%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.79%

56.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.74%

77.26%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89%

28.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22%

63.79%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66%

31.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3%

67.71%

Score Analysis

Estonia 38.91%

Lithuania 33.67%

Draw 27.41%

Estonia	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.91%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.67%