SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 30.24% | 25.26% | 44.49% |
| Both teams to score 54.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% | 48.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% | 70.62% |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% | 29.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.16% | 65.84% |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% | 21.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.02% | 54.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.24% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.49% |
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