Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scotland in this match.
